Dejounte Murray
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 5.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.1–9.7 rebounds.
What's different today
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his last 4 came before Murray missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 5.5 in 1 of 1.
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Over 5.5 since: 1 of 1
TodayDefense vs guards
MIN allow 19.1 rebounds a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
9 games
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2025–26: 27.9 (14 games) · up 25%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 7 of 14 (19 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 5.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Murray didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; rebounds the last time Murray faced them: 2 (Jan 7, 2025)
Over 5.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 5.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −137
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −22004 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −5603 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2605 books | +1751 book | 7/10 | |
| −1374 books | −1103 books | 6/10 | |
| +1454 books | −1901 book | 4/10 | |
| +2052 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3304 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings45 min ago | −119Best | −111 |
| Bovada45 min ago | −120 | −110 |
| Pinnacle45 min ago | −137 | +104Best |
| Bally Bet45 min ago | −141 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Over: −125 → −137 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 8:09 PM ET.


