Dejounte Murray
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3–10 assists.
What's different today
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Over 5.5 since: 0 of 1
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2025–26: 27.9 (14 games) · up 25%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 8 of 14 (19 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 14.7 assists a game to guards: 18th most of 30
9 games
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 5.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Murray didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; assists the last time Murray faced them: 6 (Jan 7, 2025)
Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −129
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20005 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −5905 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2655 books | +1901 book | 8/10 | |
| −1296 books | −1065 books | 6/10 | |
| +1435 books | −2001 book | 3/10 | |
| +2505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4204 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 min ago | −124Best | −106 |
| Bovada11 min ago | −125 | −105 |
| Bally Bet11 min ago | −129 | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −129 | −106 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −129 | −106 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −136 | +102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Over: −120 → −129 since first seen