Dejounte Murray
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
90%9 of 10L10
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his last 4 came before Murray missed 3 games. Since he came back: Under 1.5 in 1 of 1.
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Under 1.5 since: 1 of 1
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 34.8 min · 2025–26: 27.9 (14 games) · up 25%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 4 of 5; with him: 9 of 14 (19 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 7.1 threes made a game to guards: 19th most of 30
9 games
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Zion WilliamsonF
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Murray didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Murray faced them: 2 (Jan 7, 2025)
Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIN on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 0.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −165
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −168
Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −168, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3456 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1256 books | −1655 books | 9/10 | |
| +3506 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +8006 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +21002 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +122 | −162Best |
| Bovada6 min ago | +125Best | −165 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | +125Best | −165 |
| betPARX6 min ago | +125Best | −175 |
| BetRivers6 min ago | +125Best | −175 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +125Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under: −171 → −165 since first seen