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De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · #8

PHX @ GS · Mon, Nov 2 10:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −2403 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, missed
  2. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 1, hit
  3. at LAC, 2026-04-12: 0, hit
  4. at LAL, 2026-10-21: 1, hit
  5. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 1, hit
  6. at PHX, 2026-10-24: 3, missed
  7. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 0, hit
  8. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 1, hit
  9. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 2, missed
  10. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 2, missed
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
71%
at −240
Books’ fair
66%
margin removed
Our chance
62%
estimate · fair −164

Research, not a pick. At −240 the price is worse than our fair −164, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2503 books—2/10
+1703 books−2401 book6/10
+5003 books—9/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
betPARX25 hr ago+170Best−240Best
Bally Bet25 hr ago+170Best—
BetRivers25 hr ago+170Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Rest−3%
De'Anthony Melton's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:07 PM ET.