De'Andre Hunter
LAL @ SAC · LiveGame log against Over 1.5
71%5 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Maxime Raynaud playing; Raynaud is out yesterday. Without him: Over 1.5 in 5 of 7.
YesterdayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 1 of 2 (9 games as teammates)
YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 26.2 (45 games) · up 27%
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 1 of 2 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Daeqwon Plowden: Out (illness)
Over 1.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 4 of 7 (9 games as teammates). A small sample.
Splits
Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L20Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
Daeqwon PlowdenGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Hunter didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Hunter faced them: 3 (Jan 28)
Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 71%
- 5 of 7
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −164
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −138, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8501 book | — | 5/7 | |
| −1643 books | +1232 books | 5/7 | |
| +1552 books | — | 2/7 | |
| +3782 books | — | 2/7 | |
| +8802 books | — | 1/7 | |
| +18601 book | — | 0/7 | |
| +29001 book | — | 0/7 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | −159Best | — |
| Pinnacle2 hr ago | −164 | +123 |
| DraftKings2 hr ago | −185 | +139Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −168 → −164 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.


