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Davion Mitchell
MIA @ LALHeat @ Lakers · Today 10:00 PM ET
The line
Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks
Typical price −1323 sportsbooks
Game log
Under 1.5Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals+blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Under 1.5Home
67%
4 of 6
Awaytonight
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks
- Average
- 1.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- −132, 3 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −132 the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX56 min ago | −104Best | −132Best |
| Bally Bet56 min ago | −104Best | — |
| BetRivers55 min ago | −104Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4803 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1043 books | −1321 book | 7/10 | |
| +2903 books | — | 9/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%