Daniss Jenkins
PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 0.5
80%4 of 5L20 · Without Duren
Under 0.5 Steals hit in 4 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 steals.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jalen Duren playing; Duren is out today. Without him: Under 0.5 in 8 of 17.
TodayTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 43 of 76 (93 games as teammates)
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 20.6 (86 games) · up 29%
Defense vs guards
PHI allow 3.9 steals a game to guards: 19th most of 30
8 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA
Splits
Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L20Cade CunninghamG
Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
Steals: 0 in 38 min, Oct 25 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against PHI on record
L20 · Without Duren · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 4 of 5
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −175
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −169
Research, not a pick. At −175 the price is worse than our fair −169, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Duren| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1283 books | −1751 book | 4/5 | |
| +5753 books | — | 4/5 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX2 min ago | +128Best | −175Best |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +128Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +128Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under: No move since first seen


