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Daniss Jenkins

Detroit Pistons · G · #24

PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Steals, typical price −1753 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 0.5

80%4 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Under 0.5 Steals hit in 4 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 0, hit, 11 min (not counted)
  2. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 7 min (not counted)
  3. at ORL, 2026-04-27: 0, hit, 13 min (not counted)
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-29: 1, missed, 16 min (not counted)
  5. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 0, hit, 19 min (not counted)
  6. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 0, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  7. vs CLE, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 29 min (not counted)
  8. vs CLE, 2026-05-07: 0, hit, 26 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 0, hit, 18 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 0, hit, 21 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 1, missed, 41 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 0, hit, 31 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 0, hit, 34 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 15 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 38 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 24 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 24 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 24 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 23 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 steals.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jalen Duren playing; Duren is out today. Without him: Under 0.5 in 8 of 17.

  • TodayTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 43 of 76 (93 games as teammates)

  • TodayMinutes

    Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 20.6 (86 games) · up 29%

  • Defense vs guards

    PHI allow 3.9 steals a game to guards: 19th most of 30

    8 games

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20
  • Cade CunninghamG

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Steals: 0 in 38 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Under 0.5

Average
0.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
4 of 5
Price implies
64%
at −175
Books’ fair
59%
margin removed
Our chance
63%
estimate · fair −169

Research, not a pick. At −175 the price is worse than our fair −169, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1283 books−1751 book4/5
+5753 books—4/5
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
betPARX2 min ago+128Best−175Best
Bally Bet6 min ago+128Best—
BetRivers2 min ago+128Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Daniss Jenkins's full game log and splits