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Daniss Jenkins

Detroit Pistons · G · #24

PHI @ DET · Live
OverUnder4.5
Under 4.5 Assists, typical price −1683 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 4.5

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Under 4.5 Assists hit in 2 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 2, hit, 11 min (not counted)
  2. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 7 min (not counted)
  3. at ORL, 2026-04-27: 4, hit, 13 min (not counted)
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-29: 2, hit, 16 min (not counted)
  5. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 3, hit, 19 min (not counted)
  6. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 5, missed, 29 min (not counted)
  7. vs CLE, 2026-05-05: 3, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  8. vs CLE, 2026-05-07: 4, hit, 26 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 3, hit, 18 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 3, hit, 21 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 3, hit, 41 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 3, hit, 31 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 5, missed, 34 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 3, hit, 15 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 6, missed, 38 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 2, hit, 24 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 24 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 5, missed, 24 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 23 min
Under hitMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for Wednesday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.

What's different on Wednesday

Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • WedTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Under 4.5 without him: 9 of 17; with him: 53 of 76 (93 games as teammates)

  • WedMinutes

    Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 20.6 (86 games) · up 29%

  • Defense vs guards

    PHI allow 15.4 assists a game to guards: 17th most of 30

    8 games

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Splits

Under 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 4.5 · L20

  • Cade CunninghamG

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Assists: 6 in 38 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 4.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Under 4.5

Average
4.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
5
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
2 of 5
Price implies
63%
at −168
Books’ fair
58%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−14301 book—0/5
−4352 books—1/5
−1902 bookspick'em only2/5
+1233 books−1682 books2/5
+1952 books—3/5
+3402 books—4/5
+5752 books—5/5
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
DraftKings31 hr ago+123−162Best
Pinnacle31 hr ago+126Best−168
Bally Bet31 hr ago+107—

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−174 → −168 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Daniss Jenkins's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.