Daniss Jenkins
PHI @ DET · LiveGame log against Under 1.5
40%2 of 5L20 · Without Duren
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 2 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 59 of 76 (93 games as teammates)
YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 20.6 (86 games) · up 29%
Defense vs guards
PHI allow 6.5 threes made a game to guards: 23rd most of 30
8 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA
Splits
Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L20Cade CunninghamG
Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
3-Pointers Made: 3 in 38 min, Oct 25 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against PHI on record
L20 · Without Duren · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 2 of 5
- Price implies
- 71%
- at −239
- Books’ fair
- 66%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −162
Research, not a pick. At −230 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −162, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Duren| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2441 book | — | 1/5 | |
| +1755 books | −2392 books | 2/5 | |
| +5002 books | — | 4/5 | |
| +14801 book | — | 5/5 | |
| +29001 book | — | 5/5 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle9 hr ago | +168 | −230Best |
| DraftKings9 hr ago | +179Best | −239 |
| Bally Bet9 hr ago | +175 | — |
| betPARX9 hr ago | +175 | — |
| BetRivers9 hr ago | +175 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5−230 → −239 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.


