Damian Lillard
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM
Game log against Under 25.5
29%2 of 7L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 25.5 Pts+Reb hit in 2 of 7 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12.3–28.7 pts+reb.
What's different today
Under 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 25.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 25.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 2 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.2 min · 2024–25: 35.5 (62 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at PHX
4th straight road game
Splits
Under 25.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 25.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Jrue HolidayG
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Pts+Reb: 26 in 31 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 25.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 25.5
- Average
- 24.3
- −1.2 vs line
- Median
- 26
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 29%
- 2 of 7
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −119
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −119, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −18002 books | — | 1/7 | |
| −3605 books | — | 1/7 | |
| −1275 books | +1051 book | 2/7 | |
| −1086 books | −1254 books | 2/7 | |
| +1051 book | −1351 book | 4/7 | |
| +1855 books | — | 7/7 | |
| +4442 books | — | 7/7 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 25.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 25.5 | Under 25.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −115 | −115Best |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −114 | −115Best |
| betPARX1 min ago | −108 | −125 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −104Best | −128 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −108 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −108 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
25.5−128 → −125 since first seen