Damian Lillard
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
57%4 of 7L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of 7 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Under 2.5 in 4 of 7.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 2 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 8.9 threes made a game to guards: 4th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.2 min · 2024–25: 35.5 (62 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Jrue HolidayG
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
3-Pointers Made: 4 in 31 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 57%
- 4 of 7
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +124
- Books’ fair
- 41%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At +145 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −112, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −50001 book | — | 0/7 | |
| −5206 books | — | 2/7 | |
| −1677 books | +1245 books | 4/7 | |
| +1386 books | −1742 books | 5/7 | |
| +2856 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +5506 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +11803 books | — | 7/7 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 min ago | −190 | +145Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −174 | +130 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −166 | +124 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −167 | +123 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −167 | +123 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −165Best | — |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −181 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: +130 → +124 since first seen