Cooper Flagg

Dallas Mavericks · F · #32

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Under 7.5 Rebounds, typical price −1504 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 7.5 Rebounds hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at PHX, 2026-04-08: 11, missed, 32 min
at SA, 2026-04-10: 6, hit, 32 min
vs CHI, 2026-04-12: 4, hit, 10 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 5, hit, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 17 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 6, hit, 40 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 5, hit, 33 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 9, missed, 39 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 40 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 10, missed, 40 min

Under hitMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.6–10.7 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 7.5 without him: 46 of 71; with him: 4 of 6 (77 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 20.9 rebounds a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 38.4 min · 2025–26: 33.6 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA

Splits

Under 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 2 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 7.5 · L10

Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Flagg didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; rebounds the last time Flagg faced them: 10 (Jan 8)

Under 7.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 7.5

Average: 6.5; −1 vs line
Median: 5.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	0/10
−2654 books	—	5/10
−1522 books	+1122 books	7/10
+1104 books	−1502 books	7/10
+2754 books	—	8/10
+9001 book	—	10/10
+25001 book	—	10/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
betPARX3 min ago	+110	−150Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+110	−150Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	+110	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+130Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

6.5 → 7.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Cooper Flagg's full game log and splits