Collin Murray-Boyles

Toronto Raptors · F · #30

TOR @ DEN · Live

Over Under6.5

Under 6.5 Rebounds, typical price −1455 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 6.5 Rebounds hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at CLE, 2026-04-29: 5, hit, 26 min
vs CLE, 2026-05-01: 7, missed, 40 min
at CLE, 2026-05-03: 4, hit, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-21: 8, missed, 20 min
at WSH, 2026-10-23: 3, hit, 18 min
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 19 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 15 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-30: 5, hit, 23 min
at LAL, 2026-11-01: 3, hit, 20 min
at LAC, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 28 min

Under hitMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1.8–8.9 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs forwards
DEN allow 14.2 rebounds a game to forwards: the fewest of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21 min · 2025–26: 22.4 (64 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAC
3rd straight road game · At altitude: Denver, 5,280 ft
Game lines
TOR +5 · total 231.5 (1 sportsbook)
TOR's games this season closed at 228.4 on average (7 games)

Splits

Under 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Under 6.5 hit in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 6.5 · L10

RJ BarrettF
Scottie BarnesF
Immanuel QuickleyG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Raptors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DEN

Murray-Boyles didn't play the Mar 20 meeting; rebounds the last time Murray-Boyles faced them: 9 (Dec 31, 2025)

Under 6.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Under 6.5

Average: 5.1; −1.4 vs line
Median: 5; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6202 books	—	3/10
−3204 books	—	4/10
−1596 books	+1082 books	6/10
+1085 books	−1452 books	6/10
+1833 books	−2601 book	9/10
+3003 books	—	10/10
+4753 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
DraftKings13 hr ago	+109	−144Best
Bovada13 hr ago	+110Best	−145
Bally Bet13 hr ago	+107	—
betPARX13 hr ago	+108	—
BetRivers13 hr ago	+107	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

5.5 → 6.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Collin Murray-Boyles's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.