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Collin Gillespie
PHX @ GSSuns @ Warriors · Today 10:00 PM ET
The line
Under 4.5 Assists
Typical price −1557 sportsbooksbest −150
Game log
Under 4.5Under 4.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.
Home and away
L10 · Under 4.5Home
40%
2 of 5
Awaytonight
80%
4 of 5
L10 · Under 4.5 Assists
- Average
- 4.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- −155, 7 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −155
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX7 min ago | +112 | −150Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +110 | −152 |
| DraftKings16 min ago | +118 | −155 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | +122 | −156 |
| Bovada7 min ago | +120 | −160 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +124Best | −165 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +110 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:22 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20004 books | — | 0/10 | |
| −4356 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1856 books | +1351 book | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1187 books | −1556 books | 6/10 | |
| +2105 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3736 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +6505 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +10601 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +17803 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +27001 book | — | 10/10 |