Christian Braun
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −140
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −142
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4153 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1057 books | −1406 books | 8/10 | |
| +3026 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +7476 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +19492 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| +50001 book | — | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada20 hr ago | +105 | −135Best |
| betPARX20 hr ago | +105 | −139 |
| DraftKings20 hr ago | +106 | −140 |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | +105 | −141 |
| Pinnacle20 hr ago | +120 | −160 |
| FanDuel20 hr ago | +136Best | −174 |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | +105 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.