Cedric Coward

Memphis Grizzlies · F · #23

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2702 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 13 of 24; with him: 5 of 8 (32 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
IND allow 3.4 steals a game to forwards: 10th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.8 min · 2025–26: 25.8 (62 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs NO

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs NY, 2026-04-01: 1, cleared, 28 min
vs TOR, 2026-04-03: 1, cleared, 27 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-06: 1, cleared, 18 min
at DEN, 2026-04-08: 1, cleared, 22 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 28 min
at SAC, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 31 min
at POR, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 27 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 23 min
vs NO, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Ty JeromeG
Cameron BoozerF
GG JacksonF
Scotty Pippen Jr.GOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Grizzlies count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs IND

Coward didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; steals the last time Coward faced them: 1 (Oct 25, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against IND on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 73%; at −270
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −196

Research, not a pick. At −212 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −196, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2702 books	+1571 book	8/10
+1882 books	−2601 book	2/10
+5802 books	—	1/10
+14002 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings12 min ago	−212Best	+157Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−270	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Cedric Coward's full game log and splits