Cedric Coward
OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
90%9 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (back)
Over 1.5 without him: 15 of 25; with him: 5 of 8 (33 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Isaiah Stewart: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 6 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
OKC allow 5.4 threes made a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29 min · 2025–26: 25.8 (62 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against OKC in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against OKC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Ty JeromeG
Cameron BoozerF
GG JacksonF
Scotty Pippen Jr.GOut
Isaiah StewartCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Grizzlies count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OKC
3-Pointers Made: 1 in 26 min, Jan 9 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against OKC on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −140
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −162
Research, not a pick. At −129 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −162, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5605 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1406 books | +1065 books | 9/10 | |
| +2205 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +5255 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +13402 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +25002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet9 min ago | −129Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −129Best | −106 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −129Best | −106 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −140 | +106 |
| DraftKings9 min ago | −145 | +110Best |
| Pinnacle9 min ago | −146 | +110Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:51 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: No move since first seen


