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Cameron Boozer

Memphis Grizzlies · F · #27

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1526 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

50%4 of 8L8

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 8 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs UTAH, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 33 min
  2. at GS, 2026-10-23: 6, cleared, 37 min
  3. at SAC, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 31 min
  4. at UTAH, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 31 min
  5. at POR, 2026-10-29: 12, cleared, 28 min
  6. vs SAC, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 26 min
  7. vs NO, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 38 min
  8. vs IND, 2026-11-04: 4, missed, 33 min
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (back)

    Over 4.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 3 of 5 (8 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Isaiah Stewart: Out (knee)

    Over 4.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 7 (7 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    OKC allow 7.6 assists a game to forwards: 17th most of 30

    8 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 31.2 min · 2026–27: 32.1 (8 games)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against OKC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L8
  • Ty JeromeG

  • GG JacksonF

  • Cedric CowardF

  • Scotty Pippen Jr.GOut

  • Isaiah StewartCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Grizzlies count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OKC

Boozer didn't play the Jan 9 meeting

L8 · Over 4.5

Average
5.4
+0.9 vs line
Median
4.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
4 of 8
Price implies
60%
at −152
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
54%
estimate · fair −119

Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −119, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL8
−45001 book—8/8
−9106 books—8/8
−3355 books—7/8
−1526 books+1125 books4/8
pick'em onlypick'em only2/8
+1307 books−1762 books2/8
+2306 books—1/8
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
FanDuel3 min ago−128Best+100
Bovada4 min ago−150+115Best
Bally Bet4 min ago−152—
betPARX2 min ago−152+112
BetRivers2 min ago−152+112
DraftKings4 min ago−152+115Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

5.5 → 4.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Cameron Boozer's full game log and splits