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Cade Cunningham

Detroit Pistons · G · #2

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −2201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Under 1.5 without him: 6 of 12; with him: 47 of 73 (85 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    PHI allow 3.9 steals a game to guards: 19th most of 30

    8 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 32.6 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (78 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Game log against Under 1.5

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 2 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 1, hit, 37 min (not counted)
  2. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 41 min (not counted)
  3. at ORL, 2026-04-27: 0, hit, 39 min (not counted)
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-29: 1, hit, 44 min (not counted)
  5. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 4, missed, 42 min (not counted)
  6. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 0, hit, 39 min (not counted)
  7. vs CLE, 2026-05-05: 2, missed, 42 min (not counted)
  8. vs CLE, 2026-05-07: 1, hit, 42 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 1, hit, 39 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 1, hit, 39 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 2, missed, 48 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 0, hit, 42 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 2, missed, 37 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 35 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 30 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 33 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 36 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 39 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 28 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 27 min
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

  • Daniss JenkinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Steals: 2 in 33 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Under 1.5

Average
1.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
2 of 5
Price implies
69%
at −220
Books’ fair
64%
margin removed
Our chance
63%
estimate · fair −171

Research, not a pick. At −220 the price is worse than our fair −171, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−3101 bookpick'em only2/5
+1621 book−2201 book2/5
+5201 book—4/5
+12601 book—4/5
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel2 min ago+162Best−220Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

−230 → −220 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Cade Cunningham's full game log and splits