Cade Cunningham

Detroit Pistons · G · #2

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Under 8.5 Assists, typical price −1326 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his last 9 came with Jalen Duren playing; Duren is out tonight. Without him: Under 8.5 in 8 of 12.

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Under 8.5 without him: 8 of 12; with him: 27 of 73 (85 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
PHI allow 15.4 assists a game to guards: 17th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.6 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (78 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

100%5 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Under 8.5 Assists hit in 5 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 11, missed, 37 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-04-25: 9, missed, 41 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-04-27: 6, hit, 39 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-04-29: 5, hit, 44 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-05-01: 3, hit, 42 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 12, missed, 39 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-05-05: 7, hit, 42 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-05-07: 10, missed, 42 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-05-09: 10, missed, 39 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-05-11: 6, hit, 39 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 9, missed, 48 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-05-15: 8, hit, 42 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 5, hit, 37 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 8, hit, 35 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-23: 8, hit, 30 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-10-25: 8, hit, 33 min
at NY, 2026-10-27: 8, hit, 36 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 7, hit, 39 min
at BKN, 2026-10-30: 4, hit, 28 min
at CHA, 2026-11-02: 7, hit, 27 min

Under hitMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 4–10 assists.

Splits

Under 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 8.5 · L20

Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF
Daniss JenkinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Assists: 8 in 33 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 8.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Under 8.5

Average: 6.8; −1.7 vs line
Median: 7; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 5 of 5
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −173

Research, not a pick. At −129 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −173, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Duren

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6255 books	—	1/5
−3055 books	—	1/5
−1686 books	+1301 book	3/5
+1006 books	−1325 books	5/5
+1656 books	−2201 book	5/5
+2704 books	—	5/5
+4305 books	—	5/5

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−102	−129Best
Bovada1 min ago	+100Best	−130
FanDuel3 min ago	+100Best	−132
betPARX1 min ago	+100Best	−134
BetRivers1 min ago	+100Best	−136
Bally Bet1 min ago	+100Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

9.5 → 8.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Cade Cunningham's full game log and splits