Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz · F · #28

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out tonight. Without him: Over 8.5 in 23 of 26.

TonightTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 23 of 26; with him: 4 of 7 (33 games as teammates)
TonightMinutes
Last 5: 15.4 min · 2025–26: 23.8 (74 games) · down 35%
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 8.5 without him: 36 of 44; with him: 20 of 37 (81 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
NO allow 46.9 points a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
7 games

94%15 of 16L20 · Without Jackson

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 15 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

vs NY, 2026-03-11: 29, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-13: 31, cleared, 29 min
at SAC, 2026-03-15: 22, cleared, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-03-18: 41, cleared, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-03-23: 24, cleared, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-03-27: 13, cleared, 25 min
at PHX, 2026-03-28: 26, cleared, 33 min
vs CLE, 2026-03-30: 18, cleared, 26 min
vs DEN, 2026-04-01: 28, cleared, 33 min
at HOU, 2026-04-03: 20, cleared, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-04-05: 34, cleared, 43 min
at NO, 2026-04-07: 18, cleared, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-04-12: 15, cleared, 13 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 14 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 10, cleared, 16 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 11, cleared, 9 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 16, cleared, 18 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 12, cleared, 19 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 14 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L20

Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Points: 10 in 16 min, Oct 23 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 7 of 7 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Over 8.5

Average: 22.1; +13.6 vs line
Median: 21; +12.5 vs line
Hit rate: 94%; 15 of 16
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 27.1; 16 games · 23.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4301 book	—	16/16
−2931 book	—	16/16
−1521 book	—	15/16
−1052 books	−1232 books	15/16
+1292 books	—	15/16
+2101 book	—	15/16
+4812 books	—	13/16

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+100Best	−132
DraftKings5 min ago	−111	−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over +100 → −105 since first seen

Brice Sensabaugh's full game log and splits