Brayden Burries

Milwaukee Bucks · G · #0

TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price +1077 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L8

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 8 games (1 of 4 at home).

at WSH, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 16 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 17 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 16 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 21 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 26 min
at BOS, 2026-11-04: 5, cleared, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.7–8.4 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
TOR allow 15.5 rebounds a game to guards: 12th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 20.4 min · 2026–27: 17.9 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at BOS
Game lines
MIL +4.5 · total 229.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 234 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L8

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Burries didn't play the Feb 22 meeting

L8 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 48%; at +107
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −111

Research, not a pick. At +114 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −111, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−14304 books	—	7/8
−4205 books	—	6/8
−1866 books	+1401 book	5/8
+1077 books	−1436 books	5/8
+1906 books	−2901 book	1/8
+3305 books	—	1/8
+5405 books	—	1/8

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+114Best	−152
Bovada1 min ago	+110	−145
DraftKings2 min ago	+107	−141Best
Pinnacle2 min ago	+107	−142
Bally Bet2 min ago	+106	—
betPARX1 min ago	+106	−143
BetRivers1 min ago	+106	−143
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

5.5 → 4.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Brayden Burries's full game log and splits