Brayden Burries
TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 6.5
38%3 of 8L8
Over 6.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 3 of his last 8 games (0 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.1–10.5 reb+ast.
What's different today
Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMinutes
Last 5: 20.4 min · 2026–27: 17.9 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at BOS
Game lines
MIL +7.5 · total 231.5 (5 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 234 on average (8 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
TOR 5th, MIL 12th of 30
Splits
Over 6.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 6.5 · L8Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Burries didn't play the Feb 22 meeting
L8 · Over 6.5
- Average
- 5.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 38%
- 3 of 8
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At −116 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −112, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L8| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4004 books | — | 5/8 | |
| −1225 books | −1103 books | 3/8 | |
| +1451 book | — | 2/8 | |
| +3254 books | — | 1/8 | |
| +10001 book | — | 0/8 | |
| +25001 book | — | 0/8 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings8 min ago | −116Best | −113 |
| betPARX2 min ago | −122 | −110 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −122 | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −125 | −106Best |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −127 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5Over: No move since first seen


