Brandon Miller
BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 8.5
50%4 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel
Under 8.5 Reb+Ast hit in 4 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.7–11.6 reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 8.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 37 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dennis Schroder: Out (thigh)
Under 8.5 without him: no games; with him: 5 of 9 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moussa Diabate: Out (quadriceps)
Under 8.5 without him: 2 of 9; with him: 39 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2026–27: 32.9 (9 games)
Splits
Under 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 8.5 · L20Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Coby WhiteG
Dennis SchroderGOut
Moussa DiabateFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BOS
Reb+Ast: 2 in 34 min, Apr 7 (away)
Under 8.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against BOS on record
L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 8.5
- Average
- 7.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 8
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −126
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14305 books | — | 2/8 | |
| −1752 books | +1301 book | 4/8 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/8 | |
| −1146 books | −1264 books | 4/8 | |
| +1405 books | −2001 book | 5/8 | |
| +3801 book | — | 7/8 | |
| +13002 books | — | 7/8 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX2 min ago | −114 | −118Best |
| Bovada4 min ago | −105 | −125 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −104 | −126 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +112Best | −142 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −114 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −114 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.57.5 → 8.5 since first seen


