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Brandon Miller

Charlotte Hornets · F · #24

CHA @ BKN · Live
OverUnder25.5
Under 25.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1082 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 25.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 25.5 Pts+Ast hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs DET, 2026-04-10: 22, hit, 31 min
  2. at NY, 2026-04-12: 21, hit, 27 min
  3. at BKN, 2026-10-21: 19, hit, 36 min
  4. vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 6, hit, 23 min
  5. vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 38, missed, 36 min
  6. vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 40, missed, 36 min
  7. at DET, 2026-10-28: 34, missed, 38 min
  8. at WSH, 2026-10-30: 21, hit, 37 min
  9. vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 29, missed, 33 min
  10. vs DET, 2026-11-02: 21, hit, 31 min
Under hitMissedThe 25.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 13.6–32.7 pts+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)

    Under 25.5 without him: 24 of 35; with him: 19 of 36 (71 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 35 min · 2026–27: 33.8 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs DET

  • Pace · possessions a game · 7 games

    BKN 12th, CHA 29th of 30

Splits

Under 25.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 25.5 · L10
  • Naz ReidC

  • Kon KnueppelG

  • Coby WhiteG

  • Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Pts+Ast: 19 in 36 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 25.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against BKN on record

L10 · Under 25.5

Average
25.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
21.5
−4 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
52%
at −108
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −108 the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−16201 book—1/10
−4202 books—2/10
−1482 books—6/10
−1222 books−1081 book6/10
+1722 books—7/10
+4002 books—8/10
+9901 book—9/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 25.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 25.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 25.5Under 25.5
DraftKings26 hr ago−122−108Best
Bally Bet26 hr ago−118Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

25.5

26.5 → 25.5 since first seen

Brandon Miller's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.