Brandon Miller

Charlotte Hornets · F · #24

BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Assists, typical price −1657 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 3.5 Assists hit in 5 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 6, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 3, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 0, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 4, missed, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 3, hit, 29 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 4, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-04-03: 3, hit, 30 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 3, hit, 34 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 2, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 0, hit, 31 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 36 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 23 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 36 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 36 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 38 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 2, hit, 37 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 5, missed, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 31 min
at BKN, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 26 min (not counted)

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Under 3.5 in 5 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 38 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dennis Schroder: Out (thigh)
Under 3.5 without him: no games; with him: 6 of 9 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moussa Diabate: Out (quadriceps)
Under 3.5 without him: 3 of 9; with him: 40 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BOS allow 8.8 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Under 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L20

Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Coby WhiteG
Dennis SchroderGOut
Moussa DiabateFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Assists: 2 in 34 min, Apr 7 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against BOS on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 3.5

Average: 2.5; −1 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −187

Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −187, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6704 books	—	3/8
−2105 books	+1322 books	4/8
+1257 books	−1655 books	5/8
+2405 books	—	7/8
+4755 books	—	8/8
+10002 books	—	8/8
+23002 books	—	8/8

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
betPARX3 min ago	+114	−155Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+114	−155Best
Bovada3 min ago	+125	−165
FanDuel2 min ago	+138	−186
Pinnacle3 min ago	+142Best	−192
Bally Bet3 min ago	+114	—
DraftKings3 min ago	+141	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−200 → −165 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace−0.9%

Brandon Miller's full game log and splits