Brandon Miller

Charlotte Hornets · F · #24

Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1222 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out tonight. Without him: Under 3.5 in 7 of 9.

TonightTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 37 of 64 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 21 of 35; with him: 21 of 36 (71 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BKN allow 4.4 threes made a game to forwards: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35 min · 2026–27: 33.8 (8 games)

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 5, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 3, hit, 27 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 4, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 5, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 3, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 4, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 3, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-04-03: 4, missed, 30 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 1, hit, 34 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 2, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 2, hit, 31 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 3, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 36 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 23 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 3, hit, 36 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 36 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 38 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 3, hit, 37 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 5, missed, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, hit, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L20

Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Coby WhiteGDay-To-Day
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 36 min, Oct 21 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 3.5

Average: 3.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −117 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−8962 books	—	1/8
−2662 books	—	1/8
−1082 books	−1222 books	6/8
+2032 books	—	6/8
+4172 books	—	8/8
+8192 books	—	8/8
+14482 books	—	8/8

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−113	−117Best
FanDuel6 min ago	−104Best	−128
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under −102 → −122 since first seen

Brandon Miller's full game log and splits