Brandon Miller
CHA @ BKN · LiveGame log against Under 3.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 21 of 35; with him: 21 of 36 (71 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BKN allow 4.4 threes made a game to forwards: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35 min · 2026–27: 33.8 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs DET
Splits
Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 3.5 · L10Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelG
Coby WhiteG
Grant WilliamsFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BKN
3-Pointers Made: 3 in 36 min, Oct 21 (away)
Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against BKN on record
L10 · Under 3.5
- Average
- 3.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −133
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −139
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7152 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2352 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1013 books | −1332 books | 8/10 | |
| +2162 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +4202 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +7502 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +16401 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle14 hr ago | −106 | −125Best |
| DraftKings14 hr ago | +101 | −133 |
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | +108Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Under: −116 → −133 since first seen
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


