Brandon Miller
BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Under 3.5
75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel
Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Under 3.5 in 7 of 9.
TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 3.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 38 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
BOS allow 6.8 threes made a game to forwards: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dennis Schroder: Out (thigh)
Under 3.5 without him: no games; with him: 7 of 9 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moussa Diabate: Out (quadriceps)
Under 3.5 without him: 1 of 9; with him: 44 of 65 (74 games as teammates)
Splits
Under 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 3.5 · L20Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Coby WhiteG
Dennis SchroderGOut
Moussa DiabateFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BOS
3-Pointers Made: 2 in 34 min, Apr 7 (away)
Under 3.5 hit in 7 of 7 games against BOS on record
L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 3.5
- Average
- 3.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 6 of 8
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −158
- Books’ fair
- 58%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −166
Research, not a pick. At −154 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −70001 book | — | 0/8 | |
| −5906 books | — | 1/8 | |
| −1906 books | +1383 books | 1/8 | |
| +1257 books | −1584 books | 6/8 | |
| +2556 books | — | 6/8 | |
| +4806 books | — | 8/8 | |
| +10603 books | — | 8/8 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | +117 | −154Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +116 | −155 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +124 | −158 |
| Bovada5 min ago | +145Best | −190 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +125 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +125 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +125 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Under: −144 → −158 since first seen


