Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat · C · #13

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Under 9.5 Rebounds, typical price −1467 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 9.5 Rebounds hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-04-10: 11, missed, 38 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 10, missed, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 7, hit, 31 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 6, hit, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 8, hit, 39 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 8, hit, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 9, hit, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 9, hit, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 9, hit, 31 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 10, missed, 41 min

Under hitMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.6–13.3 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Defense vs centers
GS allow 7.4 rebounds a game to centers: 23rd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2026–27: 32.6 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +3.5 · total 235.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Under 9.5 hit in 4 of 5 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 9.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

Rebounds: 12 in 26 min, Jan 19 (away)

Under 9.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against GS on record

L10 · Under 9.5

Average: 8.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 9; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −146
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −139 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4206 books	—	1/10
−2356 books	+1651 book	2/10
−1506 books	+1002 books	4/10
+1147 books	−1465 books	7/10
+1556 books	−2751 book	9/10
+2205 books	—	10/10
+3106 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
betPARX2 min ago	+104	−139Best
BetRivers2 min ago	+104	−141
FanDuel1 min ago	+114	−146
Bovada1 min ago	+125	−165
Pinnacle2 min ago	+129Best	−172
Bally Bet2 min ago	+104	—
DraftKings2 min ago	+114	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

10.5 → 9.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Rest−3%

Bam Adebayo's full game log and splits