Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat · C · #13

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2406 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-04-10: 3, missed, 38 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 1, hit, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 31 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 39 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 31 min
at LAC, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 41 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Heat played the day before (at LAC): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Defense vs centers
GS allow 0.4 threes made a game to centers: 27th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2026–27: 32.6 (8 games)
Game lines
MIA +7.5 · total 235.5 (6 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GS in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 against GS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Davion MitchellG
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs GS

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 26 min, Jan 19 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against GS on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 0.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −214

Research, not a pick. At −220 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −214, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2455 books	+1702 books	4/10
+1786 books	−2403 books	8/10
+5505 books	—	9/10
+13602 books	—	10/10
+29001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings1 min ago	+165	−220Best
Pinnacle1 min ago	+174	−240
FanDuel2 min ago	+178	−245
Bally Bet1 min ago	+185Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+185Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+185Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: −172 → −240 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Rest−3%

Bam Adebayo's full game log and splits