Ayo Dosunmu
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 22.5
67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards
Under 22.5 Pts+Reb hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.2–33.6 pts+reb.
What's different today
Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Under 22.5 in 5 of 13.
TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 22.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 25 of 30 (43 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 22.5 without him: 12 of 15; with him: 18 of 28 (43 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.2 min · 2026–27: 30.7 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at HOU
Splits
Under 22.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 20; Under 22.5 hit in 3 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 22.5 · L20Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Donte DiVincenzoGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NO
Dosunmu didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb the last time Dosunmu faced them: 16 (Dec 31, 2025)
Under 22.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against NO on record
L20 · Without Edwards · Under 22.5
- Average
- 25.3
- +2.8 vs line
- Median
- 22
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1954 books | — | 0/6 | |
| −1701 book | +1301 book | 1/6 | |
| −1352 books | −1062 books | 2/6 | |
| −1065 books | −1223 books | 4/6 | |
| +1404 books | — | 4/6 | |
| +3354 books | — | 4/6 | |
| +9301 book | — | 5/6 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −110 | −120Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −108 | −122 |
| betPARX5 min ago | −106Best | −129 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −106Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −106Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.5Under: −120 → −122 since first seen