Ayo Dosunmu

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · #13

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Under 22.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

67%4 of 6L20 · Without Edwards

Under 22.5 Pts+Reb hit in 4 of 6 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

at HOU, 2026-04-10: 15, hit, 26 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-18: 14, hit, 28 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-20: 13, hit, 22 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-23: 28, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-04-25: 47, missed, 42 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-04-27: 21, hit, 38 min
at SA, 2026-05-06: 0, hit, 10 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-08: 18, hit, 32 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-10: 15, hit, 30 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-12: 25, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-15: 11, hit, 23 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 21, hit, 29 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 21, hit, 27 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 12, hit, 23 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 10, hit, 26 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 20, hit, 32 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 22, hit, 30 min
at SA, 2026-10-31: 36, missed, 38 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 31, missed, 37 min
at HOU, 2026-11-04: 22, hit, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.2–33.6 pts+reb.

What's different today

Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Under 22.5 in 5 of 13.

TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Under 22.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 25 of 30 (43 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Under 22.5 without him: 12 of 15; with him: 18 of 28 (43 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.2 min · 2026–27: 30.7 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at HOU

Splits

Under 22.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 20; Under 22.5 hit in 3 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 22.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
LaMelo BallG
Jaden McDanielsF
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Dosunmu didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb the last time Dosunmu faced them: 16 (Dec 31, 2025)

Under 22.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Under 22.5

Average: 25.3; +2.8 vs line
Median: 22; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 4 of 6
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1865 books	—	0/6
−1701 book	+1301 book	1/6
−1352 books	−1062 books	2/6
−1035 books	−1203 books	4/6
+1485 books	—	4/6
+3505 books	—	4/6
+8402 books	—	5/6

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
DraftKings16 min ago	−122	−108Best
Bovada16 min ago	−110	−120
betPARX4 min ago	−103	−134
Bally Bet16 min ago	+100Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−103	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

Under: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Ayo Dosunmu's full game log and splits