Anthony Davis

Washington Wizards · F · #23

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1722 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tomorrow

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with WSH; before that, DAL
Over 1.5 with WSH: 2 of 7; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 3.9 steals a game to forwards: 6th most of 30
8 games

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs HOU, 2026-01-03: 0, missed, 39 min
at SAC, 2026-01-06: 0, missed, 36 min
at UTAH, 2026-01-08: 1, missed, 35 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 32 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 31 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 35 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 34 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 34 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 34 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Davis didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; steals the last time Davis faced them: 1 (Apr 2, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 37%; at +172
Books’ fair: 34%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.4; 10 games · 31.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 34%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2902 books	—	8/10
+1722 books	−2502 books	2/10
+5292 books	—	1/10
+14002 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel6 min ago	+182Best	−250
DraftKings16 min ago	+172	−233Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +174 → +172 since first seen

Anthony Davis's full game log and splits