Anthony DavisDay-To-Day
WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Blocks hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 blocks.
What's different today
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ATL allow 3.2 blocks a game to forwards: the most of 30
9 games
Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with WSH; before that, DAL
Under 1.5 with WSH: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Splits
Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L10Trae YoungG
AJ DybantsaF
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
Blocks: 3 in 30 min, Nov 4 (home)
Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ATL on record
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −166
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −154 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −151, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3616 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1246 books | −1663 books | 6/10 | |
| +3766 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +9203 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +20002 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | +116 | −154Best |
| DraftKings8 min ago | +124 | −166 |
| betPARX2 min ago | +148Best | −205 |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | +148Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +148Best | — |
| Bovada8 min ago | +120 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under: −152 → −166 since first seen