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Anthony Davis

Washington Wizards · F · #23

ATL @ WSH · Live
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1753 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 2.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs HOU, 2026-01-03: 3, missed, 39 min
  2. at SAC, 2026-01-06: 2, hit, 36 min
  3. at UTAH, 2026-01-08: 4, missed, 35 min
  4. vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 34 min
  5. vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 32 min
  6. at CHI, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 31 min
  7. at CHA, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 35 min
  8. at CLE, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 34 min
  9. vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 34 min
  10. at ORL, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 34 min
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)

    Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)

    Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)

  • New team

    7 games with WSH; before that, DAL

    Under 2.5 with WSH: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10

  • Defense vs forwards

    ATL allow 8.1 assists a game to forwards: 16th most of 30

    8 games

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

  • AJ DybantsaF

  • Trae YoungG

  • Kyshawn GeorgeF

  • Tristan VukcevicFOut

  • Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Davis didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; assists the last time Davis faced them: 2 (Apr 2, 2025)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
64%
at −175
Books’ fair
59%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −161 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −134, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2301 book—4/10
+1303 books−1752 books5/10
+2992 books—7/10
+7002 books—10/10
+15001 book—10/10
+27001 book—10/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
DraftKings6 hr ago+122−161Best
Pinnacle6 hr ago+131Best−175
Bally Bet6 hr ago+130—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −188 → −175 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Anthony Davis's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.