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Anthony DavisDay-To-Day

Washington Wizards · F · #23

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1906 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 2.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. at SAC, 2026-01-06: 2, hit, 36 min
  2. at UTAH, 2026-01-08: 4, missed, 35 min
  3. vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 34 min
  4. vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 32 min
  5. at CHI, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 31 min
  6. at CHA, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 35 min
  7. at CLE, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 34 min
  8. vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 34 min
  9. at ORL, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 34 min
  10. vs ATL, 2026-11-04: 3, missed, 30 min
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)

    Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)

    Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)

  • New team

    8 games with WSH; before that, DAL

    Under 2.5 with WSH: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10

  • Defense vs forwards

    ATL allow 8.7 assists a game to forwards: 12th most of 30

    9 games

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

  • Trae YoungG

  • AJ DybantsaF

  • Kyshawn GeorgeF

  • Tristan VukcevicFOut

  • Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Assists: 3 in 30 min, Nov 4 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
66%
at −190
Books’ fair
61%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −138

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −138, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−15001 book—2/10
−2205 books+1501 book4/10
+1306 books−1905 books5/10
+3105 books—7/10
+6505 books—10/10
+18002 books—10/10
+28001 book—10/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
betPARX1 min ago+130−180Best
BetRivers1 min ago+130−180Best
Bovada6 min ago+145−190
DraftKings2 min ago+144−191
Pinnacle2 min ago+146Best−198
Bally Bet2 min ago+130—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−180 → −190 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Anthony Davis's full game log and splits