Anthony DavisDay-To-Day

Washington Wizards · F · #23

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1966 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at SAC, 2026-01-06: 2, hit, 36 min
at UTAH, 2026-01-08: 4, missed, 35 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 34 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 32 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 31 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 35 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 34 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 34 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-11-04: 3, missed, 30 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
New team
8 games with WSH; before that, DAL
Under 2.5 with WSH: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 8.7 assists a game to forwards: 12th most of 30
9 games

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Trae YoungG
AJ DybantsaF
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Assists: 3 in 30 min, Nov 4 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against ATL on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −196
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −140, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−15001 book	—	2/10
−2255 books	+1501 book	4/10
+1306 books	−1965 books	5/10
+3305 books	—	7/10
+7005 books	—	10/10
+17802 books	—	10/10
+28001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
betPARX1 min ago	+130	−180Best
BetRivers1 min ago	+130	−180Best
DraftKings1 min ago	+148	−196
Pinnacle1 min ago	+146	−198
Bovada1 min ago	+150Best	−200
Bally Bet1 min ago	+130	—

Prices as of 3:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−180 → −196 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Anthony Davis's full game log and splits