AJ Green

Milwaukee Bucks · G · #20

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Points, typical price +1033 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at DET, 2026-04-08: 13, cleared, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-04-10: 35, cleared, 41 min
at PHI, 2026-04-12: 19, cleared, 36 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 6, missed, 15 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 11, cleared, 17 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 11, cleared, 19 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 20 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 9, cleared, 24 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 13, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.7–19.5 points.

What's different today

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 29.1 (78 games) · down 26%
Defense vs guards
BOS allow 49.1 points a game to guards: 26th most of 30
7 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
BOS 19th, MIL 6th of 30

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 10; Over 6.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Points: 15 in 31 min, Apr 3 (home)

Over 6.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against BOS on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average: 12; +5.5 vs line
Median: 11; +4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +103
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At +109 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2861 book	—	8/10
−1862 books	—	8/10
+1033 books	−1442 books	7/10
+1122 books	—	7/10
+2252 books	—	6/10
+3202 books	—	4/10
+5251 book	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Pinnacle3 hr ago	+109Best	−144
DraftKings3 hr ago	+103	−132Best
Bally Bet3 hr ago	+100	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Over: −106 → +103 since first seen

AJ Green's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.