AJ Green

Milwaukee Bucks · G · #20

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1802 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 29.1 (78 games) · down 26%
Defense vs guards
BOS allow 7.1 threes made a game to guards: 20th most of 30
7 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN
Game lines
MIL +11.5 · total 224.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 235.6 on average (7 games)

80%8 of 10L10

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).

at DET, 2026-04-08: 4, cleared, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-04-10: 11, cleared, 41 min
at PHI, 2026-04-12: 5, cleared, 36 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 15 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 17 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 19 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 20 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 24 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

3-Pointers Made: 5 in 31 min, Apr 3 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against BOS on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 3.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 3; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 67%; estimate · fair −201

Research, not a pick. At −168 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −201, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8502 books	—	9/10
−1802 books	+1271 book	8/10
+1622 books	−2201 book	7/10
+3852 books	—	4/10
+8502 books	—	2/10
+16802 books	—	1/10
+28001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings11 min ago	−168Best	+127Best
FanDuel6 min ago	−180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

AJ Green's full game log and splits