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Aday Mara

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · #15

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder8.5
Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1057 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 8.5

60%3 of 5L8 · Without Williams

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 3 of 5 games without Jalen Williams (his last 8 games).

  1. at SA, 2026-10-20: 7, missed, 12 min (not counted)
  2. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 13 min (not counted)
  3. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 14 min (not counted)
  4. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 11, cleared, 20 min
  5. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 6, missed, 21 min
  6. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 7, missed, 28 min
  7. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 10, cleared, 20 min
  8. vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 9, cleared, 25 min
ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 0 of 3 (8 games as teammates)

  • TodayDefense vs centers

    MEM allow 8.5 points a game to centers: 29th most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 0 of 3 (8 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 8.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 0 of 3 (8 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L8
  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Ajay MitchellG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Mara didn't play the Jan 9 meeting

L8 · Without Williams · Over 8.5

Average
8.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
9
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5
Price implies
51%
at −105
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Minutes
22.8
5 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL8
−3454 books—5/5
−2301 book+1701 book4/5
−1555 books+1151 book3/5
−1057 books−1276 books3/5
+1256 books−1651 book2/5
+1701 book−2301 book1/5
+2254 books—0/5
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 8.5Under 8.5
Bally Bet12 min ago−104Best—
Pinnacle12 min ago−104Best−127
betPARX2 min ago−105−129
BetRivers1 min ago−105−129
FanDuel1 min ago−106−125
Bovada11 min ago−110−120
DraftKings12 min ago−110−116Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −118 → −105 since first seen

Aday Mara's full game log and splits