Aaron Gordon
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–5 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −35001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −4004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1327 books | +1006 books | 7/10 | |
| +1806 books | −2401 book | 5/10 | |
| +3806 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +7005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +15282 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel15 hr ago | −128Best | +100 |
| Bally Bet15 hr ago | −132 | — |
| betPARX15 hr ago | −132 | −103 |
| BetRivers15 hr ago | −132 | −103 |
| Pinnacle15 hr ago | −132 | −100 |
| Bovada15 hr ago | −135 | +105Best |
| DraftKings15 hr ago | −135 | +103 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.