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Lionel Messi

Inter Miami CF · F · #10

MIA v CLT · Sat, Nov 7 4:00 PM
Over only3.5
Over 3.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1352 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. at CHI (MLS), 2026-09-09: 4, cleared
  2. vs NSH (MLS), 2026-09-12: 4, cleared
  3. vs SD (MLS), 2026-09-20: 5, cleared
  4. at CLB (MLS), 2026-09-27: 2, missed
  5. vs DC (MLS), 2026-10-10: 4, cleared
  6. vs NYC (MLS), 2026-10-14: 1, missed
  7. at ATL (MLS), 2026-10-17: 4, cleared
  8. at RBNY (MLS), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
  9. vs CIN (MLS), 2026-10-28: 0, missed
  10. at NE (MLS), 2026-11-01: 2, missed
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 line

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
2.6
−0.9 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
43%
at +135
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−50001 book8/10
−6002 books7/10
−1902 books5/10
+1352 books5/10
+3201 book1/10
+7001 book0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5
DraftKings6 min ago+140Best
FanDuel6 min ago+135

Prices as of 9:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +150 → +135 since first seen

Lionel Messi's full game log and splits