Pablo Pagis

Paris FC · F · #7

AUX v PAR · Sat, Nov 7 1:00 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1125 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs HAC (Ligue 1), 2026-05-17: 3, cleared
at TRY (Ligue 1), 2026-08-22: 3, cleared
vs NICE (Ligue 1), 2026-08-30: 0, missed
at OLM (Ligue 1), 2026-09-06: 2, missed
vs LYON (Ligue 1), 2026-09-12: 1, missed
vs STR (Ligue 1), 2026-09-19: 2, missed
at LOR (Ligue 1), 2026-10-10: 4, cleared
vs REN (Ligue 1), 2026-10-18: 3, cleared
at RCL (Ligue 1), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
vs MON (Ligue 1), 2026-11-01: 5, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 line

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 47%; at +112
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−100004 books	8/10
	−2505 books	7/10
	+1125 books	5/10
	+2405 books	2/10
	+5005 books	1/10
	+9002 books	0/10
	+28001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet10 min ago	+112Best
betPARX10 min ago	+112Best
BetRivers10 min ago	+112Best
DraftKings10 min ago	−120
FanDuel10 min ago	−145

Prices as of 1:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −120 → +112 since first seen

Pablo Pagis's full game log and splits