Rubén Vargas

Sevilla · M · #11

SEV v ALA · Tomorrow 3:00 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1305 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs RSO (La Liga), 2026-05-04: 2, missed
vs ESP (La Liga), 2026-05-09: 4, cleared
at VIL (La Liga), 2026-05-13: 1, missed
vs RMA (La Liga), 2026-05-17: 1, missed
at CEL (La Liga), 2026-05-23: 3, cleared
vs RAY (La Liga), 2026-08-15: 1, missed
at RMA (La Liga), 2026-10-18: 1, missed
vs OSA (La Liga), 2026-10-26: 0, missed
at SPH (Copa del Rey), 2026-10-29: 4, cleared
at GET (La Liga), 2026-11-01: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineCDR Copa del Rey · unmarked: La Liga

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 1.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 43%; at +130
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−70005 books	8/10
	−2255 books	4/10
	+1305 books	3/10
	−1102 books	2/10
	+2002 books	0/10
	+4302 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	+130Best
betPARX5 min ago	+130Best
BetRivers5 min ago	+130Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−105
FanDuel5 min ago	−260

Prices as of 4:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

−105 → +130 since first seen

Rubén Vargas's full game log and splits