Nico Serrano
ATH v ESP · Fri, Nov 20 3:00 PM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2201 sportsbookUpdated
Game log against Over 0.5
Historical hit rate
20%2 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Games counted
Game log L10@ AEPGoals1Hit
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-02-08 – 2026-10-29
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Workload | At 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | @ AEP | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-19 | vs ALA | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CEL | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-13 | @ ESP | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-04-12 | vs VIL | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-03-22 | vs BET | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-03-14 | @ GIR | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-03-04 | @ RSO | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-02-15 | @ OVI | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-02-08 | vs LEV | 1 | — | Hit |
L10 · Over 0.5
Historical results
- Average
- 0.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 31%
- at +220
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| +2201 book | 2/10 | |
| +12001 book | 0/10 | |
| +66001 book | 0/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 |
|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | +220Best |
Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 0.5
No opening line kept for this market yet.