Mariano Díaz

Alavés · F · #9

SEV v ALA · Today 3:00 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price −1414 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at RAY (La Liga), 2026-08-20: 2, cleared
vs VIL (La Liga), 2026-08-28: 0, missed
vs OSA (La Liga), 2026-09-06: 1, missed
at RAC (La Liga), 2026-09-12: 3, cleared
vs VAL (La Liga), 2026-09-15: 0, missed
at ATH (La Liga), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
vs ATM (La Liga), 2026-10-10: 2, cleared
at CEL (La Liga), 2026-10-18: 2, cleared
vs MCF (La Liga), 2026-10-23: 0, missed
at BAR (La Liga), 2026-10-31: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−11154 books	6/10
	−1414 books	4/10
	+1904 books	1/10
	+3601 book	0/10
	+9001 book	0/10
	+22001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
BetRivers3 min ago	−139Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−141
betPARX3 min ago	−141
FanDuel3 min ago	−220

Prices as of 7:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Mariano Díaz's full game log and splits