Nico O'Reilly

Manchester City · D · #33

NFO v MNC · Sat, Nov 7 12:30 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +2154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at CHE (FA Cup), 2026-05-16: 0, missed
at BOU (Premier League), 2026-05-19: 1, cleared
vs BOU (Premier League), 2026-08-23: 0, missed
at CRY (Premier League), 2026-08-28: 0, missed
at MAN (Premier League), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
vs SUN (Premier League), 2026-09-20: 1, cleared
at LIV (Premier League), 2026-10-11: 0, missed
vs PSG (Champions League), 2026-10-14: 0, missed
vs IPS (Premier League), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
vs BHA (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineUCL Champions League · FAC FA Cup · unmarked: Premier League

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 32%; at +215
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+2154 books	2/10
	+5501 book	0/10
	+28002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet10 min ago	+215Best
betPARX10 min ago	+215Best
BetRivers10 min ago	+215Best
DraftKings10 min ago	+105

Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Nico O'Reilly's full game log and splits