Mathias Jensen

Brentford · M · #8

BHA v BRE · Sun, Nov 8 9:00 AM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price −1061 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at MAN (Premier League), 2026-04-27: 2, cleared
vs WHU (Premier League), 2026-05-02: 1, missed
at MNC (Premier League), 2026-05-09: 1, missed
vs CRY (Premier League), 2026-05-17: 0, missed
at LIV (Premier League), 2026-05-24: 1, missed
vs TOT (Premier League), 2026-08-22: 2, cleared
at AVL (Premier League), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
vs LIV (Premier League), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
at HUL (Premier League), 2026-10-25: 1, missed
vs NFO (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−4801 book	7/10
	−1061 book	2/10
	+3101 book	0/10
	+28001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bovada1 hr ago	−106Best

Prices as of 7:52 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Mathias Jensen's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:53 PM ET.