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Iliman Ndiaye

Manchester City · F · #7

MNC v FUL · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1572 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10@ NFOShots on Target0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineUCL Champions League · unmarked: Premier League
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-09-08 – 2026-11-07

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShots on TargetWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-11-07@ NFO0—Miss
2026-11-04@ RBL0—Miss
2026-10-31vs BHA2—Hit
2026-10-24@ AVL1—Hit
2026-10-17vs IPS0—Miss
2026-10-14vs PSG2—Hit
2026-10-11@ LIV0—Miss
2026-09-20vs SUN0—Miss
2026-09-13@ MAN0—Miss
2026-09-08@ FCP1—Hit

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Past hit rate
40%
4 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
61%
at −157
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−1572 books4/10
+3002 books2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
BetRivers9 min ago−141Best
Bally Bet9 min ago−157

Prices as of 1:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Iliman Ndiaye's full game log and splits